Your chances of getting into Oxford Mathematics, and the TMUA score you need

Oxford Mathematics acceptance rate

For 2025 entry, 1,931 people applied for Mathematics at Oxford, 634 were interviewed and 202 received offers.

That is an offer rate of 10.5%, or about 1 in 10. From 2024 entry, Mathematics and Mathematics and Statistics are one application, and Oxford's counts include both.

Oxford's own published acceptance rate counts only those who took up a place: 180 of 1,931, or 9%, for 2025 entry.

Applications have roughly doubled since 2007: 836 applied for Mathematics then (984 with Mathematics and Statistics), against 1,931 for the joint application for 2025 entry, while offers stayed between 176 and 212 a year. So the offer rate has fallen, from 22.0% for 2007 entry.

The share interviewed fell from 92% for 2007 entry to 33% for 2025 entry. If you are interviewed, your chance of an offer is about 1 in 3 (202 of 634). Since 2016 entry that figure has ranged from 30% to 37%.

For 2026 entry, the Mathematical Institute counted 2,052 applicants for Mathematics and Mathematics and Statistics, 589 interviewed and 208 offers (10.1%). That is the department's own count, which for 2025 entry was 1,929 against Oxford's official 1,931; Oxford's official statistics end at 2025 entry.

What TMUA score do you need for Oxford Mathematics?

A TMUA score of about 8.2 gives a 1 in 3 chance of an offer on our estimate, read from past applicants' MAT results.

Oxford publishes no pass mark. It used the MAT, marked out of 100, up to 2026 entry and requires the TMUA, both papers, from 2027 entry. Oxford has released no TMUA results yet.

So the figures below are estimates. They come from past applicants' MAT marks and outcomes, ranked within each year. We place a TMUA score on that scale by percentile: your score is matched to where it would sit among Imperial's 2025 TMUA applicants to Mathematics.

This assumes Oxford's 2027 applicants are about as strong on the TMUA as Imperial's 2025 applicants. Nobody has published how Oxford applicants score on the TMUA yet, so the ranges are widened.

On that basis the estimate reaches a 1 in 3 chance of an offer at TMUA 8.2. At 7.0 it is about 18%, and at 6.0 about 8%, against the 10.5% average for 2025 entry.

How TMUA scores compare across all test-takers is in our guide to a good TMUA score.

If Oxford's applicants score like Imperial's 2025 applicants, the curve puts the average offer holder at about TMUA 7.7. This is a model figure: no Oxford offer holder has sat the TMUA yet.

Even the top of the scale is no guarantee: at 9.0 the estimate is about 51%. Below 5.0 it is 2% or less.

The estimate for a score is the same for everyone before grades, school and where you apply from are added. Use the calculator above for those.

How the old MAT results sorted applicants

Everything in this section is on the MAT scale, marks out of 100, and comes from the years before the TMUA. A MAT mark is not a TMUA score and cannot be converted into one by eye.

Within each year the chance of an interview and an offer rose steeply with the mark. For 2023 entry, applicants scoring 50 to 59 were interviewed 31% of the time and got offers 6.7% of the time. At 80 to 89 it was 99% and 65.7%.

Offers went overwhelmingly to the top quarter of each year's marks: 78% to 85% of offers for 2020 to 2023 entry, and 157 of 191 for 2023 entry (61 or more).

Marks differ a lot from year to year. Mathematics offer holders averaged 82.1 for 2021 entry and 72.0 for 2023 entry, so compare an applicant's position within a year and never marks across years.

2024 entry was unusual: the online MAT was disrupted for many candidates on 19 October 2023, Oxford said its usual shortlisting score was not a factor that year, and the top quarter of marks took 71% of offers, against 78% to 85% for 2020 to 2023 entry.

How much does the interview matter?

Shortlisted candidates are interviewed online in December, generally once or twice by their first college and at least once by a second, randomly assigned college. Each interview lasts about 25 minutes and is largely mathematical.

Each interview is graded from 1 to 9 against agreed descriptors, and all tutors see all marks. Among those interviewed for 2024 entry, offer holders averaged 7.24 and the others 6.15.

No interviewee averaging below 6 got an offer (0 of 129), and 55 of the 56 averaging 7.5 or more did. In between, the offer rate rose from 3% to 27% to 66%.

2024 entry was the year the online MAT was disrupted for many candidates, so the interview may have weighed more than usual. The same pattern held for 2023 entry across all five MAT courses pooled.

The marks come from the tutors who also decide, so they record how decisions went. These figures describe past outcomes; there is no mark to aim for.

UK and international applicants, and school type

UK applicants are more likely to get an offer: 11.1% for 2025 entry, against 9.9% for non-EU and 4.5% for EU applicants (3 of 67). Over 2023 to 2025 entry it was 11.6% for UK and 9.0% for non-EU applicants.

Non-EU applicants are interviewed slightly more often (35.5% against 32.0% for 2023 to 2025) but convert less often once interviewed (25.3% against 36.1%). These are Oxford's own groups by where you live, not fee status.

The UK offer rate has fallen from 20.3% for 2007 entry (138 of 679) to 11.1% for 2025 entry (131 of 1,177). UK applicants were 61% of applicants and took 65% of offers in 2025.

School type shows a gap among UK applicants. Over 2023 to 2025 entry, 10.9% of state-school applicants got offers (296 of 2,718), against 14.4% from independent schools (91 of 632). State schools still supplied 76% of those offers.

Across all applicants, 31.0% of state-school and 36.0% of independent-school applicants were interviewed over 2023 to 2025. Raw rates do not allow for test marks.

The calculator's school effect is borrowed from Oxford PPE, where state-school applicants did a little better than independent-school applicants with the same test score, so it raises a UK state-school estimate slightly and lowers an independent-school one. Mathematics' own data cannot show whether that holds here (see the method).

Do GCSEs and A-levels matter?

Oxford's standard offer for Mathematics is A*A*A, with the A*s in Maths and Further Maths if available (IB: 39 points with 7, 6, 6 at Higher Level, the 7 in Maths). Where Further Maths is not available at your school, the offer is A*AAa with an AS in Further Maths, or A*AA with A* in Maths.

Maths at A* is required, and Further Maths is highly recommended. The same requirements apply for 2026 and 2027 entry.

In practice, offer holders were predicted well above it. For 2024 entry, 126 of the 135 offer holders with three or more predicted A-levels were predicted at least A*A*A*.

These are raw rates. Oxford released grades and MAT marks in separate tabs that cannot be linked, so this cannot show how much of the gap comes from the test; applicants predicted higher may also have scored higher on the MAT.

Almost every successful applicant took Further Maths: 142 of 154 offer holders with A-level subjects listed for 2024 entry, and between 92% and 97% in every year from 2020 to 2024. The data lists predicted subjects only, so this cannot show an offer rate without Further Maths.

For 2026 entry the department reports that, across its four courses, 97% of the 1,535 applicants taking A-levels in the UK were taking Further Maths as a full A-level, and fewer than 3 of the 49 who were not were shortlisted.

The shortlisting guidance has changed over the years: for 2020 entry it combined the MAT with the share of GCSEs at A*, for 2021 entry the MAT with a contextualised GCSE score, for 2022 entry the MAT mark alone, for 2024 and 2025 entry guidance based on MAT scores, and for 2026 entry a weighted combination of the test and a contextualised GCSE score.

Tutors see the whole UCAS form every year. The calculator's GCSE effect is borrowed from Oxford PPE (see the method).

Questions about Oxford Mathematics admissions