Imperial EFDS offer chance calculator

Your chances of getting into Imperial Economics, Finance and Data Science, and the TMUA score you need

For 2025 entry, Imperial received 2,183 applications for Economics, Finance and Data Science and made 309 offers: 14%. Built from the test scores and outcomes of 1,359 past applications, released by Imperial.

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Fee status
A-levels

best three, predicted or achieved

School

Add your score and where you are applying from


EFDS selection in 2025

How many reached each stage in 2025. Your own chances appear here once you have answered.

StageApplicationsAVGYou
Apply2,183
Offer30914%?

How the offer rate rises with TMUA score

0%20%40%60%80%123456789Average offer rate 14%33% offer rate at TMUA 4.9
All EFDS applicants, with the 80% confidence range. Your position is marked once you have answered.
Show as a table
TMUAOffer rate80% confidence range
4.019%17% to 21%
4.527%25% to 29%
5.036%34% to 39%
5.546%43% to 48%
6.052%49% to 56%
6.556%52% to 61%
7.059%54% to 64%
7.562%56% to 69%
8.064%57% to 72%
8.566%58% to 76%
9.067%58% to 77%

Why you can trust this

1,359past applications

1 yearof scores linked to offers (2025 entry)

1.5xwider ranges, with no other year to test on

Method and sources

This calculator uses one year of Imperial data: 2025 entry, the first year Imperial used the TMUA. Imperial's own TMUA dashboard shows how many Economics, Finance and Data Science applications at each score received an offer. Applications are ranked by score, a smooth curve is fitted to the offer rate, and its level is set to the dashboard's 1,359 scored applications.

Home and international applicants have separate curves. The home curve uses the 344 scored Home applications outside the widening participation (WP) group, and the international curve uses the 916 Overseas applications.

WP applications got offers further down the score scale: 23 of 58 Home WP applications scoring 2.0 to 3.9 got an offer, against 16 of 148 other Home applications. The home curve is therefore for applicants outside the WP group. If you are in it, your chance at a given score is likely to be higher than the estimate.

With one year of data there is no other year to test the curve on, so every range has been widened by a factor of 1.5. Imperial calls the dashboard historic data that should not be taken as a guide to later requirements or outcomes.

Shortlisted applicants have a 20 to 30 minute online interview, but Imperial releases no interview scores and no total of applicants interviewed. The calculator estimates the overall chance of an offer from your score and does not model the interview separately.

The dashboard does not split outcomes by grades or school type, so the A-level and school effects are the ones fitted for Oxford PPE, added on top of the score and allowing for the overlap between them. PPE's A-level effects are measured against PPE applicants with the same score, who are unusually strong on grades, so here they are re-centred on the standard offer and used at half size: A*AA counts as no change, as leaving grades blank does, and the range runs from no effect to PPE's full size. Imperial says it does not use GCSEs beyond checking English language, so the calculator does not ask about them.

  1. Imperial College London, TMUA scores: applicant outcomes dashboard, 2025 entry cycle. Economics, Finance and Data Science applications, offers and interviewed-but-unsuccessful applications by TMUA score and fee group.
  2. Imperial College London, Understanding your ESAT and TMUA scores (web page), and FOI reply IMPFOI-26-502. First year of TMUA use and the 1.0 to 9.0 scale.
  3. Imperial College London, Undergraduate Admissions Statistics 2021 to 2025, Table 1. Applications and offers by fee status, 2023 to 2025.
  4. Imperial College London, Economics, Finance and Data Science course page (L1N3), 2027 entry, read on 26 October 2026.
  5. Imperial College London, FOI replies on the programme's first entry year and TMUA statistics, GCSE requirements and how applications are weighed (November 2025) and contextual admissions (2026).
  6. Grade equivalence: Ofqual, grade standards for new GCSEs (2017); Cambridge International, A guide to A*-G and 9-1 grades (2025); Ecctis for the IB, MYP grade comparisons with the GCSE (2021); Imperial College London, Economics, Finance and Data Science entry requirements.
  7. A-level and school effects: as fitted for our Oxford PPE calculator, which lists their sources.

This estimate cannot see your personal statement, your interview or your reference, and it does not model the interview separately. It is built from counts of applications to this one programme. The A-level and school effects are borrowed from Oxford PPE because Imperial's data has none. Predicted and achieved grades are treated the same.


Imperial Economics, Finance and Data Science admissions statistics

What the numbers Imperial has released say about getting into Economics, Finance and Data Science: how many applications it gets, which TMUA scores led to offers and interviews in 2025, and how outcomes differ between Home and Overseas applications and for widening participation (WP) applicants.

  • 1 in 7

    applications got an offer

    More detail

    309 offers from 2,183 applications for 2025 entry (14.2%), up from 7.4% for 2024 entry and 6.5% for 2023 entry.

  • 25.4%

    of Home applications got an offer, against 10.7% of Overseas

    More detail

    2025 entry: 137 of 539 Home applications, including widening participation applications, and 157 of 1,474 Overseas applications.

  • 5.0

    was the median TMUA score of applications that got an offer

    More detail

    2025 entry, against 3.9 for all scored applications. The lowest score with an offer was 1.5, and that band gave 3 offers from 26 Home applications outside the WP group.

  • 58%

    of interviewed applications got an offer, on our estimate

    More detail

    2025 entry. This adds offers (324) to applications Imperial lists as interviewed but unsuccessful (230), so it assumes every offer followed an interview.

Imperial Economics, Finance and Data Science acceptance rate

For 2025 entry, Imperial received 2,183 applications for Economics, Finance and Data Science and made 309 offers.

That is an offer rate of 14.2%, or about 1 in 7. Economics, Finance and Data Science is a single programme, so in these counts each application is a different applicant.

The course is young: Imperial said in September 2023 that it was new, running from October 2023, so 2023 is the first entry year. The offer rate more than doubled between 2023 and 2025, as offers rose and applications fell.

Applications and offers by year of entry
  • Applications
  • Offers

Offers went from 188 for 2023 entry to 226 and then 309, while applications went from 2,882 to 3,036 and then 2,183. The offer rate went from 6.5% to 7.4% to 14.2%.

Imperial's TMUA dashboard, which this page uses for everything about scores, counts 2,277 applications and 338 offers for 2025 entry. Those totals are about 4% and 9% above the workbook's 2,183 and 309, and Imperial's own gender table gives 2,414 and 376. The workbook's programme table is used for the offer rates above.

Economics, Finance and Data Science (L1N3) is Imperial Business School's only undergraduate programme.

Show the data as a table
Imperial Economics, Finance and Data Science applications and offers by year of entry.
EntryApplicationsOffersOffer rate
20252,18330914.2%
20243,0362267.4%
20232,8821886.5%
Imperial Economics, Finance and Data Science applications and offers by year of entry. Source: Imperial College London, Undergraduate Admissions Statistics 2021 to 2025, Table 1.

What TMUA score do you need for Imperial Economics, Finance and Data Science?

A TMUA score of about 4.9 gave a 1 in 3 chance of an offer across all scored applications for 2025 entry, and 4.2 for Home applications outside the WP group.

Imperial publishes no TMUA pass mark. It reports scores from 1.0 to 9.0 to one decimal place, with no grade boundaries, and the test is compulsory for this course.

Imperial first used the TMUA for 2025 entry, so every score figure on this page comes from that one cycle. Imperial calls its figures historic data that should not be taken as a guide to later requirements or outcomes.

Offers reached down to low scores, but rarely. Offer holders' median score was 5.0, the lowest was 1.5 (3 of 26 Home applications outside the WP group scoring 1.5 to 1.9), and 26 of 39 Home applications outside the WP group scoring 4.5 to 4.9 got an offer.

Overseas applications needed more: none of the 237 scoring below 3.0 got an offer, and the median among Overseas offer holders was 5.9.

Across all scored applications the model reaches a 1 in 3 chance of an offer at TMUA 4.9. For Home applications outside the WP group that is 4.2, and for Overseas applications 5.3.

Every Imperial programme that uses the TMUA, with Imperial's own score data, is in our Imperial TMUA guide.

Estimated chance of an offer by TMUA score, 2025 data
  • Home, outside the WP group
  • Overseas

A high score is no guarantee. Of the 153 applications scoring 6.0 or more, 98 got an offer. The model's curve for all applications levels off at about 67% at the top of the scale.

The raw rates do not rise smoothly: the 4.5 to 4.9 band had an offer rate of 42% (63 of 150) and the 5.0 to 5.4 band 27% (35 of 130). The model smooths this out.

Of the dashboard's 2,277 applications, 918 (40.3%) have no TMUA score recorded, and 14 of them got an offer. 806 of the 1,722 Overseas applications (46.8%) had no score. The dashboard does not say why a score is blank.

Show the data as a table
Estimated chance of an offer by TMUA score, from the calculator's model, before grades and school.
TMUA scoreScored applications belowHome, outside WPOverseas
1.00%under 1%under 1%
2.011%4%under 1%
3.029%13%2%
4.050%31%9%
5.073%52%26%
6.089%65%50%
7.094%69%59%
8.098%70%65%
9.099%70%67%
Estimated chance of an offer by TMUA score, from the calculator's model, before grades and school. One year of data (2025 entry). Overseas is Imperial's fee-status group; the share below a score is among all scored applications.

How does the interview fit in?

Imperial's 2027 page says shortlisted applicants are invited to a 20 to 30 minute online interview with an academic, about motivation, analytical thinking and communication. It expects no prior economics knowledge.

Imperial releases no interview marks and no total of applicants interviewed: its dashboard counts only the applications interviewed and not given an offer. Adding the offers gives an estimate of who was interviewed, which assumes every offer followed an interview that the data cannot confirm.

On that basis about 41% of scored applications reached an interview in 2025, and about 58% of those got an offer.

Share of scored applications interviewed, by TMUA score, 2025 entry (estimated)
Below 3.0
17%
0%
3.0 to 3.9
24%
3%
4.0 to 4.9
82%
38%
5.0 to 5.9
98%
57%
6.0 and above
95%
96%
  • Home, outside the WP group
  • Overseas

On our estimate, Home applications outside the WP group were interviewed much further down the scale: about 82% of those scoring 4.0 to 4.9 (83 applications), against about 38% of Overseas applications in the same range (209).

If every offer followed an interview, the test separates offers from rejections among interviewees much less than it separates interviewees from everyone else: offer holders averaged 4.77 against 4.44 for interviewed-but-unsuccessful Home applications outside the WP group, and 5.92 against 5.87 for Overseas.

On that reading the TMUA mainly decides who is invited, and the interview and the rest of the application decide among them. The calculator estimates the overall chance of an offer from the score and does not model the interview separately.

Show the data as a table
Estimated share of scored applications interviewed and offered a place, by TMUA score, 2025 entry.
TMUA scoreHome outside WP, interviewedHome outside WP, offeredOverseas, interviewedOverseas, offered
Below 3.017% (n=104)7%0% (n=237)0%
3.0 to 3.924% (n=84)14%3% (n=181)3%
4.0 to 4.982% (n=83)51%38% (n=209)24%
5.0 to 5.998% (n=52)58%57% (n=159)26%
6.0 and above95% (n=21)62%96% (n=130)64%
Estimated share of scored applications interviewed and offered a place, by TMUA score, 2025 entry. Inferred from the dashboard: offers plus applications it lists as interviewed but unsuccessful. n is the number of scored applications in the group.

Home and Overseas applications

Imperial groups applications by fee status: Home (UK fee status) and Overseas. For 2025 entry the offer rate was 25.4% for Home applications (137 of 539) and 10.7% for Overseas applications (157 of 1,474), about 2.4 times as high.

Home has had the higher offer rate in each of the three years: 15.6% against 4.2% for 2023 entry, and 14.3% against 5.4% for 2024 entry.

Offer rate by fee status
  • Home
  • Overseas

Among applications with a TMUA score, the dashboard gives 30.2% for Home applications outside the WP group (104 of 344), 38.4% for Home WP applications (38 of 99) and 19.9% for Overseas applications (182 of 916).

On our estimate, Overseas applications were also interviewed less often at the same score. In the model the curve for Home applications outside the WP group reaches 1 in 3 at 4.2 and the Overseas curve at 5.3.

Show the data as a table
Imperial Economics, Finance and Data Science offer rate by fee status and year of entry.
EntryHomeOverseas
202525.4% (137 of 539)10.7% (157 of 1,474)
202414.3% (98 of 687)5.4% (128 of 2,349)
202315.6% (92 of 589)4.2% (96 of 2,293)
Imperial Economics, Finance and Data Science offer rate by fee status and year of entry. Overseas leaves out the separate European Union row that Imperial prints for 2025 (15 offers from 170 applications). Source: Imperial admissions statistics, Table 1.

Widening participation applicants

Imperial's dashboard splits Home applications into a widening participation (WP) group and everyone else. We have not found a definition of the WP group in Imperial's data, so we cannot say who is in it.

WP applications got offers and interviews further down the score scale. Scoring 2.0 to 3.9, 23 of 58 Home WP applications got an offer, against 16 of 148 other Home applications and 6 of 322 Overseas applications.

Offer holders' median score was 3.7 for Home WP applications (lowest 2.2) and 4.7 for the other Home group (lowest 1.5).

Offer rate by TMUA score and group, 2025 entry
Below 3.0
7%
18%
0%
3.0 to 3.9
14%
56%
3%
4.0 to 4.9
51%
24%
5.0 to 5.9
58%
26%
6.0 and above
62%
64%
  • Home, outside the WP group
  • Home WP
  • Overseas

These numbers are small: only 99 Home WP applications had a score, and 38 of them got an offer. A bar is left out where a group has fewer than 20 applications. Home WP applications made up 22% of scored Home applications and 27% of the Home offers to scored applicants.

Imperial's contextual route for UK applicants covers care leavers, applicants from the most deprived fifth of postcode areas in England, applicants who receive or have received free school meals in the last six years, and some applicants from low-participation areas who also meet a further condition. A 2026 request for TMUA thresholds for this route was answered with these criteria and a pointer to the dashboard, not thresholds.

Eligible applicants with Home fee status can get a guaranteed offer at the department's minimum entry level if they are predicted at least AAA, show clear motivation in their personal statement and score above the department's TMUA minimum (and its interview minimum, where it sets one), which Imperial does not publish.

The calculator's home curve is for applications outside the WP group. If you are in it, your chance at a given score is likely to be higher than the estimate.

Show the data as a table
Imperial Economics, Finance and Data Science offers by TMUA score and group, 2025 entry.
TMUA scoreHome, outside WPHome WPOverseas
Below 3.07% (7 of 104)18% (9 of 50)0% (0 of 237)
3.0 to 3.914% (12 of 84)56% (14 of 25)3% (6 of 181)
4.0 to 4.951% (42 of 83)11 of 1924% (51 of 209)
5.0 to 5.958% (30 of 52)2 of 326% (42 of 159)
6.0 and above62% (13 of 21)2 of 264% (83 of 130)
Imperial Economics, Finance and Data Science offers by TMUA score and group, 2025 entry. Counts are offers out of scored applications. Percentages are shown only for groups of 20 or more.

Entry requirements and what else Imperial looks at

For 2027 entry Imperial asks for A*AA at A-level including an A* in Mathematics. Further Mathematics and Economics are described as useful but not required. IB applicants need 39 points with 7 in Mathematics and 6 in two other Higher Level subjects.

Imperial's typical offer is A*AA or A*A*A, or 39 IB points. It defines this as the offer made to at least half of 2025-entry applicants still to sit their exams, so it describes 2025 practice; Imperial may change it.

An Imperial reply to a Freedom of Information request in November 2025 said there is no set weighting between the parts of an application, but that it is "probably fair to say" that after the academic requirements and the test, the personal statement is very significant. The same reply said GCSEs are not taken into account, except to check the English language requirement.

Imperial has said it cannot extract A-level subjects or predicted grades from its admissions database, and it has declined requests for them. So there are no outcomes by grades or subjects for this course.

Show the table
Imperial Economics, Finance and Data Science entry requirements for 2027 entry.
A-levelsIB Diploma
MinimumA*AA including A* in Mathematics39 points, 7 in Mathematics and 6 in two other Higher Level subjects
Typical offerA*AA or A*A*A39 points
Admissions testTMUA, compulsoryTMUA, compulsory
Interview20 to 30 minute online interview for shortlisted applicants20 to 30 minute online interview for shortlisted applicants
Imperial Economics, Finance and Data Science entry requirements for 2027 entry. Source: Imperial College London Economics, Finance and Data Science course page, read on 26 October 2026.

Questions about Imperial Economics, Finance and Data Science admissions

What is the acceptance rate for Imperial Economics, Finance and Data Science?

About 14.2% of applications got an offer for 2025 entry: 309 offers from 2,183 applications. It was 7.4% for 2024 entry and 6.5% for 2023 entry, the first year of the course.

What TMUA score do I need for Imperial Economics, Finance and Data Science?

Imperial publishes no pass mark. A few offers went to low scores in 2025 (3 of 26 Home applications outside the WP group scoring 1.5 to 1.9), but none of the 237 Overseas applications below 3.0 got one. Our model reaches a 1 in 3 chance at 4.9 across all applications (4.2 for Home applications outside the WP group, 5.3 for Overseas). This rests on one year of data, so treat it as a guide.

Is there an interview for Imperial Economics, Finance and Data Science?

Yes. Imperial's 2027 page says shortlisted applicants are invited to a 20 to 30 minute online interview with an academic. Imperial releases no total of applicants interviewed, and the calculator estimates the overall chance of an offer from your score and does not model the interview separately.

Do I need A-level Maths for Imperial Economics, Finance and Data Science?

Yes. Imperial asks for an A* in Mathematics at A-level, or 7 in Mathematics at IB Higher Level. Further Mathematics and Economics are described as useful but not required.

Is the TMUA compulsory for Imperial Economics, Finance and Data Science?

Yes. Imperial's 2027 page lists the TMUA as compulsory. 918 of the 2,277 applications on the 2025 dashboard have no score recorded, and 14 of those got an offer.

Is it harder to get into Imperial Economics, Finance and Data Science from outside the UK?

In 2025 the offer rate was 25.4% for Home applications and 10.7% for Overseas, and Home was higher in each of the three years. On our estimate, Home applications were also interviewed much further down the score scale.

How do WP applications do on the TMUA at Imperial?

They got offers further down the scale in 2025: 23 of 58 Home WP applications scoring 2.0 to 3.9 got an offer, against 16 of 148 other Home applications. The calculator's home curve is for applications outside the WP group, so it is likely to be too low if you are in it.

Keep going

Updated 25 October 2026 · GhostPrep is independent of Imperial College London. Figures describe past applicants and are an estimate for planning, with no guarantee of any outcome.